ACT 01 / LIVE EVENT-RISK INTELLIGENCE
Your portfolio is betting
on events you never chose.
SwapOG maps your Solana portfolio to the real-world events already moving it — then uses prediction markets and specialist agents to quantify what happens next.
Analyze Archetype:
PORTFOLIO ASSETS (3)
SOL
79.7% Weight
$38,750
JUP
11.6% Weight
$5,650
USDC
8.7% Weight
$4,242
MAPPED EVENT RISKS (3)
HIGH RISK EVENT84% AI
SOL ETF Approval Q4
Market: 78%Linked: $18,420
MACRO EVENT62% AI
Fed Target Rate Decision
Market: 68%Linked: $12,800
PRICE TARGET68% AI
SOL > $250 Dec 31
Market: 56%Linked: $38,680
NODE INSPECTORInspect Prediction Market
HIGH RISK EVENT
SOL ETF Approval Q4
MARKET
78%
SWAPOG
84%
PORTFOLIO LINKAGE$18,420
SENSITIVITYHIGH
01 / HIDDEN EXPOSURE
Your tokens are not your true risk.
Reassigned Event Vector Mapping100.0% Portfolio Net Exposure
SOL ETF Approval Q40.88 BETA
Affecting: SOL (58%) + JTO (8%)Exposure: $32,200
Fed Target Rate DecisionMACRO REGIME
Affecting: USDC (20%) + SOL (58%)Exposure: $38,070
Solana DEX Volume > $20B0.74 BETA
Affecting: JUP (14%) + SOL (58%)Exposure: $35,130
SEC Regulatory ClassificationREGULATORY
Affecting: JUP (14%) + JTO (8%)Exposure: $10,730
PHYSICAL ANALYST NOTE #01
EVENT MEMORANDUMSWAPOG RISK
SOL ETF APPROVAL BEFORE Q4
Market pricing is currently under-reflecting SEC commentary timelines. SwapOG quorum detects 12.4% bullish model edge.
MARKET IMPLIED
78.0%
SWAPOG AI
84.2%
PORTFOLIO LINKAGE: $18,420HIGH BETA
“Tokens are positions. Events are the hidden portfolio.”
02 / INTELLIGENCE SCENE
Specialists debate. Deterministic math decides.
PROTAGONIST EVENT MARKET
SOL ABOVE $250 BEFORE DEC 31
MARKET IMPLIED
0.0%
SWAPOG AI
0.0%
SWAPOG EDGE
+0.0%
BRIER CONFIDENCE
0
0% (DEFINITE NO)50% EVEN ODDS100% (DEFINITE YES)
53% MACRO
56% MARKET
63% QUANT
66% NEWS
72% ONCHAIN
68.4% SWAPOG CONSENSUS
SPECIALIST QUORUM LIST
SPECIALIST EVIDENCE INSPECTOR
ONCHAIN FLOW — PROBABILITY 72%
BRIER SCORE 0.128
CONFIDENCE 84/100
STRUCTURED EVIDENCE SIGNALS:
Stake-weighted liquidity +11%
Priority fee pressure easing
Jupiter route depth stable
03 / RISK TO ACTION PAYOFF
Quantify the threat. Execute the hedge.
PORTFOLIO EVENT SENSITIVITY SCORE
0
HIGH
Unhedged Event Exposure
PROTECTION FOUNDSOL Downside Concentration
SUGGESTED ACTION
BUY NO (SOL > $250)
BOUNDED COST
$43.00 USDC
DETERMINISTIC CONSTRAINT CHAIN & SAFETY RAIL
STEP 01
RESEARCHED
4 Agents
STEP 02
FORECASTED
68.4% AI
STEP 03
SIZED
$43 Max
STEP 04
POLICY CHECK ✓
PASS
STEP 05
SIMULATED ✓
PASS
STEP 06
YOU SIGN
Wallet